巴基斯坦可以通过敲击风能，太阳能来遇到可持续发展目标

[伊斯兰堡]巴基斯坦可以通过解锁风能和太阳能潜力来弥补其估计38.36 Terawatt-Hour电力短缺的86％学习.

The study comes as leading economists say Pakistan’s persistingenergycrisis is holding back the country’s efforts to reduce poverty and meetsustainable development goals.

Published last month (December 2018)在Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews，该研究使用基于天气的建模来估计风能和太阳能的95/5组合如何满足能源需求。

“The ramifications on industrial and agriculture sectors, which account for over 70 per cent of the total export earnings and 39.77 per cent of total national GDP, are pronounced because these sectors often fail to meet export orders and thousands of industrial units in the country have closed down, leading to mass unemployment.”

玛哈·雷曼（Maha Rehman）

研究人员以14平方公里的空间分辨率展示了“能源地图集”，估计该国发电的潜力为78.69 Terawatt-Terawatt-Terawatt-Terawatt-Hour，通过太阳能通过太阳能进行了2.79吉瓦。

Pakistan’s electrical-load demand is estimated to increase to around 63,000 megawatts by 2020 — more than double the current demand of 30,000 megawatts. Meanwhile, there is an immediate need to install around 39,177 megawatts to sustain socio-economic growth and employment, the study estimates.

Asad Ashfaq, lecturer at theNottingham Trent University’s土木工程部和研究的首席作者告诉SciDev.Net挖掘巴基斯坦的风能和太阳发电潜力可以促进该国的工业和beplay下载官网西西软件sectors — the mainstays of the country’s economy.

玛哈·雷曼（Maha Rehman），公众policyexpert at theCentre for Economic Research Pakistan，解释说：“对工业和农业部门的后果，占出口总收入的70％以上，占国家GDP总数的39.77％，因为这些部门beplay下载官网西西软件通常无法满足出口订单和数千名工业单位该国已关闭，导致大规模失业”。

但是，很难挖掘这种风能和太阳能电位。根据许多因素，据穆罕默德·比拉尔·汗（Muhammad Bilal Khan）说，可再生能源科学家US-Pakistan Centre for Advanced Studies in Energy, Islamabad: “[the] security situation, internal political turmoil, bureaucratic bottlenecks, corruption, mismanagement of the energy sector, inadequate indigenous金融resources and lack of foreign investment”.

Arif Allaudin, former head of thePakistan Alternative Energy Development Board, suggests that renewable energy can be tapped by “mobilising the indigenous private sector, removing tax barriers on renewable energytechnologyimports, motivating the banking sector to invest in small and medium renewable energy projects and making investment hassle-free for foreign investors”.

He says the government could also incentivise off-grid household energy projects “to help attain sustainable socio-economic development goals through enhanced energy access”.

This piece was produced by SciDev.Net’s Asia & Pacific desk.